Thursday, August 25, 2011

Lecture 26. JOBS, JOBS, JOBS


The deficit hawks will tell you that government can’t create jobs. False! Government is involved in the employment of everyone who works in any connection whatsoever with the transportation, communication, energy, water, health, education, and other industries. And that is only on the primary level. All of the above workers buy goods and services, thus creating secondary and tertiary jobs that cascade throughout the economy. What the deficit hawks really mean to say is, Government cannot create new jobs. That would be true - unless government creates new infrastructure or repairs, rebuilds, or renews existing infrastructure. Indeed, much of our difficulty today stems from our failure to properly maintain and add to existing infrastructure. There was a time in our history when stimulus was not a dirty word. In 1956, the debt from WW II was still a burden. Top income tax rates were over 90%. The nation was re-arming against a nuclear threat in a perilous world. Yet, President Dwight Eisenhower, a Republican, signed the Interstate Highway System Act, a bill passed by a large majority of a bipartisan Congress despite its enormous cost. Somehow, there were no tea parties claiming that government cannot create jobs, opposing a federal government that was too big, protesting that Washington is threatening our liberty, complaining that the administration is shoving this down our throats, and crying that President Eisenhower was trying to do too much, too soon and should rather concentrate on jobs, jobs, jobs. Instead, there was a nation of war veterans tested in battle, of factory workers accustomed to double shifts, and of farmers who had stopped work only to eat and sleep. It was an ambitious nation ready, when asked, to go to the moon. What happened to that America? How did we lose our courage?

WHAT IS TO BE DONE?

Today, we have failing schools, flooded homes, and an internet crying for bandwidth. With modern trains, we could reduce long-haul trucking and short-haul flights. Some economists will show you a cost/benefit analysis that claims little "pay-back" for these investments. But they do not take into account that idle workers cost almost as much as employed workers. Their families must be fed, clothed, housed, educated, and medicated. In effect, from the standpoint of society, labor cost is practically constant. We pay for it whether we use it or not. And since, except for capital costs, all costs are ultimately labor costs, the only serious questions are needs and resources to satisfy needs. Now, ask yourself: Two or three hundred years in the future, will our freight trains still be moving at 60 miles per hour? No, the world will be different. The only question is: are we going to be the first in everything? — or the last?

GREEN JOBS

To achieve energy independence and get our forces out of the Middle-East, to prevent global warming and stop carbon pollution, we need solar panels, windmills, geothermal wells, and nuclear power plants. The deficit hawks will tell you that green jobs are a fantasy, that if carbon-free energy were economically feasible, free enterprise would be doing it. Yet, nuclear power plants are the source of 80% of the energy needs of France. And they are planning toward 100% for the next generation, when all cars and trucks and trains will be electric. Are they more capable than we? The Center for Progress lists ten reasons why green jobs are vital to the economy. In his book, "The Third Industrial Revolution", Jeremy Rifkin describes the future for which we must work: "Like every other communication and energy infrastructure in history, the various pillars of a Third Industrial Revolution must be laid down simultaneously or the foundation will not hold. That's because each pillar can only function in relationship to the others. The five pillars of the Third Industrial Revolution are: (1) shifting to renewable energy; (2) transforming the building stock of every continent into micro-power plants to collect renewable energies on-site; (3) deploying hydrogen and other storage technologies in every building and throughout the infrastructure to store intermittent energies; (4) using Internet technology to transform the power grid of every continent into an energy-sharing intergrid that acts just like the Internet (when millions of buildings are generating a small amount of energy locally, on-site, they can sell surplus back to the grid and share electricity with their continental neighbors); and (5) transitioning the transport fleet to electric plug-in and fuel cell vehicles that can buy and sell electricity on a smart, continental, interactive power grid. Are we going to be first to create that future? or last? According to the American Society of Civil Engineers, "More than 26%, or one in four, of the nation's bridges is either structurally deficient or functionally obsolete." One-third of America's major roads are "in poor or mediocre condition and 45 percent of major urban highways are congested." Its drinking water systems "face an annual shortfall of at least $11 billion to replace aging facilities." Inland waterways, wastewater systems, levees rate a "D" or lower according the Civil Engineers' report card. Because lost time cannot be regained, a huge, irrecoverable loss of national wealth results from disuse of our vast resources. Each day, we rob our children of their just inheritance. Yet, much of our construction industry is sitting by the telephone, waiting for a call that never comes. Stimulus works! And the larger the stimulus, the sooner we will break out of gridlock, which is mainly due to a mass psychology of fear. The public must believe that the government will spend enough to restore prosperity. As workers find work and spend more, producers will produce and hire more: an upward spiral. As fear subsides, gridlock will end, prosperity will begin, and we will catch up with other nations. Using idle resources to build useful infrastructure, stimuli will end the recession, increase the GDP, reduce the DR, please our bond-holders, let us outgrow our debt, increase our productivity, enrich our nation, "promote the general Welfare and secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity". When the Founding Liberals wrote those words, they were thinking about our children. We should all be doing that now.
Thanks for your interest. Marvin Sussman, retired engineer If you don’t like the world as it is, change it this way!:
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